AK-AL, AK-Sen Primary Results Thread























268 of 439 Precincts Reporting
Candidate Votes Percent
Don Young 35464 45.12%
Sean Parnell 35825 45.58%
Gabrielle LeDoux 7305 9.29%

Polls in Alaska close at 12am Eastern, and we’ll be following the results for the Alaska Senate primary, the Democratic primary for the state’s at-large House seat, and most importantly, the battle between Sean Parnell and Don Young. Stay tuned.

RESULTS: AP (House) | AP (Senate) | AK Division of Elections | ADN.com

3:52AM: Alright, let’s continue the discussion over in thread no. 2.

3:46AM: Uncle Ted is Uncle Ted:

This is still a Republican state. You think they’re going to go for Obama? You think they’re going to go with Schumer who’s against drilling in the arctic and offshore? […]

But this is a Republican state – don’t forget that. And we know why we’re Republican – because the Democrats have opposed our development every inch of the way.

Senator. How are you going to campaign during the trial?

(didn’t answer)

3:28AM: The gap is closing — Young now trails by only 360 votes…

3:23AM: Mush, mighty huskies, mush! We need to see the Coconut Road precincts before daylight!

3:11AM: A source close to the action in Alaska writes in to note (just as many of you have written about in the comments) that many of the Young-friendly precincts in rural Alaska have yet to report. Parnell doesn’t have anything in the bag yet.

2:58AM: Our quickie back-of-the-napkin analysis reveals that Young would have to perform about 1.51% better among the outstanding votes in order to win.

2:54AM: 58% reporting, and Parnell has increased his lead to about 700 votes.

2:38AM: Parnell is now up by over 400 votes.

2:07AM: Young trails by four. Not percent. Four votes. Jebus; there’s no way I’m going to bed tonight.

1:45AM: 37% in, and things are looking a bit hairier for The Donald, with Parnell ahead by 300 votes. With a ton of votes outstanding, though, this lead is hardly safe.

1:21AM: Why is the Dem primary ballot referred to as the “ADL” Party primary, you ask? Answer: typical Republican ballot box b.s.  

1:15AM: Here we go, folks! 31% is in, and Young is up by a nose. Wow. Berkowitz and Stevens are cruising.

1:07AM: A friend on the ground in Alaska tells SSP that AK officials may hold off reporting any numbers until 50% of precincts are counted.

12:38AM: It may take a few minutes before we start to see any results trickle in. They still have to wait for a shipment of ballot boxes stuffed with votes for Don Young to come in from the Coconut Road precincts in Florida, after all.

162 thoughts on “AK-AL, AK-Sen Primary Results Thread”

  1. I’m going to have a hard enough time staying to to midnight on the east coast, I’m sure I’m going to go to bed now if the polls don’t close until 12pm tomorrow!

    Go Stevens! Go Young!

    I’m pessimistic on Young as I think the AK-GOP won’t be stupid enough to put up Parnell over Young. Stevens is a given.

  7. I loved Schweitzer as well and Michelle hit a homer last night.  We need Bill, Joe and Barack to cap off the homerun derby and things will look sweet!

  8. I apologize if this has already been brought up, but isn’t it against military rules to wear the uniform for political gain or purpose?  Rooney has pictures of himself in uniform throughout his website and photo gallery.

  9. 40 minutes in, and no results yet? Are they starting with the ganja break before they even start counting? (More evidence that society just starts breaking down when you decriminalize it.)

  15. Vic Vickers, who left Florida to campaign for this Senate seat and got nothing, while producing some of the most annoying ads of anyone this cycle. It would have been nice to add Alaska to Florida’s territory though !

  16. Anyone else notice who is the state’s elections head?  Why, none other than Captain Zero himself, the man behind the woman (Sarah Palin), congressional candidate and acclaimed empty suit, Sean Parnell.

    I like that he is running for Congress, after serving less than two years as LG, and has refused to give up his post running state elections.  That’s no conflict of interest!  How silly to even suggest it!

  19. Looks like 94 of the remaining precincts are in senate districts C (Young’s home) and T (rural north and west). Young should do well there. It’s impossible to tell what’s counted in district D, but if there’s still votes to count there it would be great.

    1. C-Span is the best until they take some Republican nut calls, then I turn on MSNBC to watch Rachel clean Pat Buchanans clock again.  BTW Matthews and Mitchell have been almost as good to the Dems as Oberman and Maddow!

  22. This is Palmer and Wasilla — two of the fastest growing communities in the state, heavily GOP, and Palin’s home base (she was mayor of Wasilla).  I would expect Parnell to win here on Palin’s coattails.  Just over half the vote in here.

  23. or it would be hell staying up for these results.  But they really need to hurry up before it gets late on the West Coast as well.

    Imagine a scenario where the November election came down to Alaska.  Can you say, longest night ever?

    1. Bad language does offend a lot of people, some too polite to let you know. What’s the value in that, and what does it gain you?

      Besides, James L could ban you — if he hasn’t banned himself for his outburst and so is not around to do the deed!

  24. Should the final tally end up this close and Young loses, you can beat your life he will demand a recount and drag Parnell down for weeks on end.  It’s totally in his personality.  

    I don’t want to get ahead of myself, but a recount would be awesome either way, and would really bring down their nominee with the general in two months. GOP bad blood = good for Ethan Berkowitz.

    2. In another thread, Chad said he saw on some Alaska website that results will begin to be reported about 1 hour after polls close. So hopefully we should see some action in 15 minutes…

    1. Don Young promised that the Coconut Road flyover was supposed to shave three to four days off the average musher’s journey from Pompano Beach to Coral Springs. (Maybe the huskies are having some trouble with heat exhaustion.)

  28. Looks like a huge chunk just came in from Anchorage, which put Parnell up. Still quite a handful of big precincts in 27, 28, and 31 house districts for Anchorage. Still waiting for much of Young’s base.

  29. It looks like the race needs to be determined by 0.5 percent or less, to trigger a recount:

    AS ยง 15.20.450

    The application must include a deposit in cash, by certified check, or by bond with a surety approved by the director. The amount of the deposit is $1,000 for each precinct, $2,000 for each house district, and $15,000 for the entire state. If the recount includes an office for which candidates received a tie vote, or the difference between the number of votes cast was 20 or less or was less than .5 percent of the total number of votes cast for the two candidates for the contested office, or a question or proposition for which there was a tie vote on the issue, or the difference between the number of votes cast in favor of or opposed to the issue was 20 or less or was less than .5 percent of the total votes cast in favor of or opposed to the issue, the application need not include a deposit, and the state shall bear the cost of the recount. If, on the recount, a candidate other than the candidate who received the original election certificate is declared elected, or if the vote on recount is determined to be four percent or more in excess of the vote reported by the state review for the candidate applying for the recount or in favor of or opposed to the question or proposition as stated in the application, the entire deposit shall be refunded. If the entire deposit is not refunded, the director shall refund any money remaining after the cost of the recount has been paid from the deposit.

    2. So it is hard to tell, but this is judging by the Senate seats with votes coming in.  For anyone interested, these are breakdowns of the 40 Senate districts.

      http://www.state.ak.us/redistr…

      Hard to say where Young’s base is, but he’s from Fairbanks in the Interior.  He should win the Bush.  

      But 60 of the state lives around Anchorage, 17 percent around Fairbanks, and 12 percent around Juneau in the Panhandle.

  30. Not looking so good, district 6 better go big or Young is an incumbent looking for retirement options.

  32. Right now it’s 4/46 precincts in with 581 votes. If the pace continues as is, which usually doesn’t happen in rural districts with some larger towns, then that could be another 5,000 votes or so.

    1. The best possible outcome requires a recount. That will be another great advantage to our side, if their side has to wait another week or two to figure out just who their side is. And at this point it looks like we’re gonna get that recount advantage!

      Bah! Let them eat chads and choke on them.

    2. still tons of votes out there in what should be strong-Young areas. So strange to be cheering on a repub!

  39. There are probably simply more, ummm, debauchees who follow SSP.  Or maybe we have more coffee and/or alcohol.:)

  41. Average Precinct has around 312 votes per. There is a 98.5% vote through. There is about 30,000 to 40,000 votes left (I got 40,000 through calculations, but who knows how these precincts are set up, especially these ones that report late). Young’s strength is supposedly districts 36-40. There are approximately 22,000 votes there with an average precinct of 230ish. Obviously it can be less or more (36,39,40 is currently calculated at 197; 37 at 350). So over half of the votes left come from Young’s precincts. Unfortunately there is no vote breakdown be district or region so we’ll have to wait and see.  

  44. 63% of the outstanding is from 36-40. IF you include 6 then 87% of the outstanding is from “Young Territory”. I’m going to say Young wins this one.  

  45. Unlike in Anchorage and its suburbs where the population is younger, and a good portion of it is new to the state, the rural areas obviously encounter less change, and they are therefore going to have tighter connections to longtime incumbents.  Over the years the villages which have gotten those evil earmarks, are going to be more apt to remember Young’s work.  

    Not mention Young hails from Fort Yukon; though, I bet he lives there 12 days a year.

  46. The Alaskan election took a turn to the right in the ballot initiatives. There were three progressive propositions on the ballot. One would have made it more difficult to shoot wildlife from airplanes. Another would have required that mining companies not pollute streams. A third would have instituted voluntary public financing of campaigns. All are going down right now by decent to large margins. The Anchorage Daily News supported all three propositions, to no avail.

    This is the electoral climate that Begich, Berkowitz, and Obama will have to campaign in. Perhaps the general election will skew slightly more toward the Democrats. But still, it’s not encouraging.

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